Insights / kr
011170
롯데케미칼KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.11%
P05–P95 span
14.41%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+25.86%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.21%P25: -1.82%P50: 1.11%P75: 5.12%P95: 9.20%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 32.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.