Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.89%
P05–P95 span
43.85%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.12
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.46%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -0.10%P25: 1.52%P50: 3.89%P75: 9.46%P95: 43.75%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.