Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
21.75%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.60%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.21%P25: -1.68%P50: 0.00%P75: 3.59%P95: 13.54%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.