Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.67%
P05–P95 span
12.95%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.24%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.76%P25: -1.64%P50: 0.67%P75: 2.37%P95: 6.19%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.