Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.43%
P05–P95 span
10.99%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.51%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.20%P25: -3.40%P50: -1.43%P75: 1.16%P95: 3.80%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.