010140

삼성중공업KR06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-5.07%
P05–P95 span
33.35%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.33
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
-2.32%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
1/1(100%)
Above median
0/1(0%)
Below median
1/1(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -22.12%P25: -14.13%P50: -5.07%P75: -2.17%P95: 11.23%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.