010140

삼성중공업KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
10.51%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-7.33%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.48%P25: -1.82%P50: 0.00%P75: 1.90%P95: 5.03%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.