010140

삼성중공업KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
16.48%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-12.31%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
1/8(13%)
Below median
7/8(88%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.38%P25: -2.39%P50: -0.25%P75: 1.56%P95: 4.10%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.