Insights / kr
010140
삼성중공업KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.90%
P05–P95 span
17.40%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.70%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.19%P25: 0.41%P50: 2.90%P75: 7.07%P95: 15.22%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.