Insights / kr
010140
삼성중공업KR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.22%
P05–P95 span
27.54%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.45
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.41%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.55%P25: -6.02%P50: -2.22%P75: 2.54%P95: 13.99%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.