Insights / kr
010140
삼성중공업KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.54%
P05–P95 span
8.76%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.50%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.74%P25: -4.17%P50: -2.54%P75: -1.32%P95: 3.02%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.