Insights / kr
010130
고려아연KR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.85%
P05–P95 span
19.93%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-11.75%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.02%P25: -0.82%P50: 0.85%P75: 3.69%P95: 7.91%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.