Insights / kr
010130
고려아연KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.23%
P05–P95 span
17.77%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.76%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.75%P25: 0.00%P50: 2.23%P75: 6.53%P95: 14.02%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.