Insights / kr
010130
고려아연KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.70%
P05–P95 span
19.65%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.52%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.90%P25: -2.92%P50: -0.70%P75: 3.06%P95: 10.75%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.