Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.12%
P05–P95 span
14.94%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-1.08%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
2/4(50%)
Above median
1/4(25%)
Below median
3/4(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.03%P25: -1.19%P50: 1.12%P75: 4.51%P95: 9.90%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.