Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.39%
P05–P95 span
20.92%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.17%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.44%P25: -5.90%P50: -2.39%P75: 1.87%P95: 10.48%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.