010120

LS ELECTRICKR05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.85%

P05–P95 span

30.96%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.38

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-9.21%

Outer 90%

5/10(50%)

Middle 50%

0/10(0%)

Above median

0/10(0%)

Below median

10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.55%P25: -1.85%P50: 1.85%P75: 6.96%P95: 20.41%

Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.