Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.93%
P05–P95 span
22.42%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-21.93%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.79%P25: -7.01%P50: -3.93%P75: 0.77%P95: 10.63%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.