Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.46%
P05–P95 span
30.06%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+30.75%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.83%P25: -5.47%P50: -1.46%P75: 3.94%P95: 17.23%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.