Insights / kr
009830
한화솔루션KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.41%
P05–P95 span
30.40%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.66%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.01%P25: -5.36%P50: -3.41%P75: -1.00%P95: 12.39%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.