009830

한화솔루션KR05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.63%
P05–P95 span
18.23%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.07%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.53%P25: -3.61%P50: -0.63%P75: 1.32%P95: 6.70%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.