Insights / kr
009830
한화솔루션KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.14%
P05–P95 span
28.49%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.78%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.10%P25: -3.42%P50: -1.14%P75: 2.43%P95: 11.39%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.