009830

한화솔루션KR04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.44%
P05–P95 span
22.27%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.12%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.63%P25: -1.77%P50: -0.44%P75: 1.78%P95: 17.65%

Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.