Insights / kr
009540
HD한국조선해양KR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.44%
P05–P95 span
20.57%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+4.31%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.90%P25: -1.97%P50: 1.44%P75: 6.26%P95: 12.67%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.