Insights / kr
009540
HD한국조선해양KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.36%
P05–P95 span
39.92%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.20
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.54%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.74%P25: -3.92%P50: -1.36%P75: 15.02%P95: 33.18%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.