Insights / kr
009540
HD한국조선해양KR05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.05%
P05–P95 span
20.85%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.47%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.72%P25: -1.89%P50: 0.05%P75: 4.51%P95: 15.13%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.