Insights / kr
009540
HD한국조선해양KR04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.12%
P05–P95 span
24.21%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+13.06%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.59%P25: -3.07%P50: 0.12%P75: 3.61%P95: 13.62%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.