Insights / kr
009420
한올바이오파마KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.02%
P05–P95 span
23.04%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.89%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.57%P25: -4.87%P50: -2.02%P75: 1.62%P95: 11.47%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.