009240

한샘KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-7.51%
P05–P95 span
21.06%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.56%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.66%P25: -9.66%P50: -7.51%P75: -1.04%P95: 8.39%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.