009240

한샘KR04/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.85%
P05–P95 span
12.96%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.50%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.03%P25: -3.96%P50: -1.85%P75: 0.33%P95: 4.93%

Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.