008770

호텔신라KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.86%
P05–P95 span
10.58%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+4.91%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.60%P25: -0.45%P50: 1.86%P75: 4.32%P95: 6.99%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.