Insights / kr
008770
호텔신라KR05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.24%
P05–P95 span
28.81%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.42
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.32%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.47%P25: -2.23%P50: 1.24%P75: 5.95%P95: 23.33%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.