Insights / kr
008770
호텔신라KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.84%
P05–P95 span
32.11%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.36
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+21.12%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.33%P25: -4.16%P50: -0.84%P75: 2.70%P95: 19.78%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.