008730

율촌화학KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-4.15%
P05–P95 span
11.83%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-19.77%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.02%P25: -8.80%P50: -4.15%P75: -0.63%P95: 1.81%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.