007070

GS리테일KR04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.30%
P05–P95 span
23.85%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.38%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.17%P25: -2.37%P50: 1.30%P75: 7.13%P95: 18.68%

Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.