006650

대한유화KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.56%
P05–P95 span
13.56%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-3.51%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.03%P25: -0.29%P50: 1.56%P75: 3.95%P95: 8.53%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 27.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.