006650

대한유화KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.13%
P05–P95 span
26.61%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.47
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-7.57%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -14.94%P25: -3.58%P50: -0.13%P75: 2.45%P95: 11.67%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.