006650

대한유화KR04/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.05%
P05–P95 span
17.64%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.13%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.63%P25: -1.58%P50: 1.05%P75: 6.14%P95: 15.02%

Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.