Insights / kr
006650
대한유화KR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.36%
P05–P95 span
17.15%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+19.59%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.18%P25: -2.99%P50: -0.36%P75: 1.51%P95: 8.97%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.