006280

녹십자KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.46%
P05–P95 span
14.88%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.52%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.02%P25: -5.80%P50: -1.46%P75: 0.84%P95: 4.85%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 27.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.