006280

녹십자KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.64%
P05–P95 span
11.03%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.80%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.04%P25: -0.96%P50: 0.64%P75: 3.14%P95: 7.98%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.