006280

녹십자KR05/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
26.65%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.47
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.76%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.72%P25: -3.48%P50: -0.58%P75: 1.44%P95: 17.92%

Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.