006280

녹십자KR05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.28%
P05–P95 span
14.94%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.90%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.66%P25: -2.57%P50: -0.28%P75: 2.18%P95: 9.28%

Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.