Insights / kr
006280
녹십자KR04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.99%
P05–P95 span
15.26%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.85%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.01%P25: -0.85%P50: 0.99%P75: 3.65%P95: 10.25%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.