006260

LSKR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.50%
P05–P95 span
33.82%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.32
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-23.38%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
0/8(0%)
Below median
8/8(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -20.69%P25: -5.11%P50: -1.50%P75: 2.65%P95: 13.14%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.