006260

LSKR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.26%
P05–P95 span
14.20%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-28.24%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.97%P25: -3.21%P50: -1.26%P75: 1.07%P95: 3.23%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.