006260

LSKR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.31%
P05–P95 span
39.08%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.22
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.14%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -14.62%P25: -1.45%P50: 1.31%P75: 5.72%P95: 24.45%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.