006260

LSKR05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.53%
P05–P95 span
18.84%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.77%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.80%P25: -4.23%P50: 0.53%P75: 3.87%P95: 9.04%

Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.