006260

LSKR04/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.13%
P05–P95 span
14.19%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+22.37%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.73%P25: -4.55%P50: -1.13%P75: 1.13%P95: 5.46%

Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.