006260

LSKR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.35%
P05–P95 span
7.56%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.85
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+23.42%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.04%P25: -1.72%P50: -0.35%P75: 1.20%P95: 3.52%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.